{"id":2439,"date":"2024-07-27T15:10:49","date_gmt":"2024-07-27T15:10:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/2024\/07\/27\/google-ai-co-the-du-doan-xu-huong-khi-hau-va-thoi-tiet-dai-han-chi-trong-vai-phut\/"},"modified":"2024-07-27T15:10:49","modified_gmt":"2024-07-27T15:10:49","slug":"google-ai-co-the-du-doan-xu-huong-khi-hau-va-thoi-tiet-dai-han-chi-trong-vai-phut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/2024\/07\/27\/google-ai-co-the-du-doan-xu-huong-khi-hau-va-thoi-tiet-dai-han-chi-trong-vai-phut\/","title":{"rendered":"Google AI c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n xu h\u01b0\u1edbng kh\u00ed h\u1eadu v\u00e0 th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i ph\u00fat"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n
\n

M\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh m\u00e1y t\u00ednh k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y do Google ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o (AI) th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng trong vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng kh\u00ed h\u1eadu d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y (machine learning) \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u2013 nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0a ra nhi\u1ec1u t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng kh\u00e1c nhau. S\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o nhanh h\u01a1n, \u00edt t\u1ed1n n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u01a1n c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3, v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 chi ti\u1ebft h\u01a1n c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean AI.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ho\u00e0n l\u01b0u chung (GCM), l\u00e0 ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh lu\u1eadt v\u1eadt l\u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng nh\u1eefng qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh kh\u00e1c nhau di\u1ec5n ra trong \u0111\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea7u kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Tr\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea5t, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft v\u00e0 kh\u00ed h\u1eadu to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u1edf ch\u1ed7 GCM \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u00ednh to\u00e1n, l\u00ean t\u1edbi h\u00e0ng terabyte ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed petabyte d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, ti\u00eau t\u1ed1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. May thay, nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 trong h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y \u0111ang b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p thay th\u1ebf hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o m\u00e1y h\u1ecdc, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 Pangu-Weather (Huawei), v\u00e0 GraphCast c\u1ee7a DeepMind. Nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c GCM th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u2014 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft duy nh\u1ea5t. Nh\u01b0ng GCM kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady cho vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p ho\u1eb7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n kh\u00ed h\u1eadu d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

<\/ins><\/div>\n

V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y thu\u1ea7n t\u00fay l\u00e0 b\u1ea1n ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o n\u00f3 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u00e0 n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5y. Kh\u00ed h\u1eadu li\u00ean t\u1ee5c thay \u0111\u1ed5i, mang \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng d\u1eef ki\u1ec7n ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3, v\u00ec v\u1eady c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i ngo\u1ea1i suy v\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebft \u0111\u00f3. B\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0a ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c v\u1eadt l\u00fd v\u00e0o m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ua ra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

\"Google<\/p>\n

\u201cM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh lai\u201d<\/h2>\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1eb1ng sau d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o NeuralGCM, m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p \u201cc\u00e1c kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a b\u1ed9 gi\u1ea3i kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean v\u1eadt l\u00fd truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n AI\u201d. C\u00e1c k\u1ef9 s\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft t\u1eeb ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ebfn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kh\u00ed h\u1eadu. \u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a NeuralGCM, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u00e3 so s\u00e1nh d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u trong th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u1ef1c, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea7u ra t\u1eeb c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00e1c, bao g\u1ed3m GCM v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 h\u00ecnh ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, NeuralGCM c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u2013 tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ebfn ba ng\u00e0y \u2013 trong khi ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n nh\u1ecf n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng so v\u1edbi GCM. Ngo\u00e0i ra, n\u00f3 c\u0169ng m\u1eafc \u00edt l\u1ed7i h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y kh\u00e1c khi \u0111\u01b0a ra d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n sau b\u1ea3y ng\u00e0y. Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a NeuralGCM t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n do m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a Trung t\u00e2m D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o Th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft Trung b\u00ecnh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECMWF-ENS) \u0111\u01b0a ra, v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t GCM \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi coi l\u00e0 ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n v\u00e0ng trong d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 ki\u1ec3m tra xem m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1c hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft kh\u00e1c nhau t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 b\u00e3o nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1edbi. H\u1ecd ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n ra r\u1eb1ng nhi\u1ec1u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y thu\u1ea7n t\u00fay t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c so v\u1edbi c\u1ea3 NeuralGCM v\u00e0 ECMWF-ENS. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n so s\u00e1nh NeuralGCM v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00ed h\u1eadu c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u00e2n gi\u1ea3i c\u1ef1c cao \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft b\u00e3o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 NeuralGCM c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o b\u00e3o nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1edbi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf h\u01a1n trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m l\u00e0 c\u1ea3i ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh h\u01a1n n\u1eefa hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a NeuralGCM, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ec3 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Tr\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea5t\u2026 \u0110\u00e2y c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh m\u00e1y t\u00ednh k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc m\u00e1y do Google ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o (AI) th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng trong vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-khong-phan-loai"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2439","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2439"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2439\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2439"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2439"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tastycounter.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}